Maybe Joe Biden had to flip on the question of taxpayer funding for abortion in order to win the Democratic presidential nomination.
All of his rivals supported that funding, and the party has become more and more aggressive on abortion. Where the 1990s Democratic platforms said abortion should be “safe, legal and rare,” the 2016 platform dropped that defensive note and included an explicit call to end the longstanding ban on using federal Medicaid funds for elective abortions.
But there will be a cost to Biden’s choice.
First, it puts Biden on the unpopular side of the issue.
Advocates of taxpayer funding can point to polls saying most people support abortion — but that’s true only when the polls were worded not to mention taxpayer funding. A 2016 poll that clarified it was asking about Medicaid paying for abortions found that 58% of the public opposed it.
Second, it means the Democratic nominee will find it more difficult to portray Republicans as far right on abortion.
Republican opponents are on the wrong side of public opinion on several questions about the issue. Most people say they would like to see Roe v. Wade survive, for example. If Biden had stuck with his opposition to taxpayer funding and won the nomination, he might have been able to draw a contrast between his own moderation and the Republicans’ extremism.
But the Democrats have now drawn more attention than ever before to a question where they’re the ones who want a big change in abortion policy that most people oppose.
Third, it undermines Biden’s chief asset in the primaries: the claim that he’s electable.
Liberal Democrats might not like Biden’s record on crime or Iraq, but his relative moderation is supposed to make him a better bet to win in November 2020. If the left can browbeat him into discarding his moderate stands, though, where’s the upside?
Fourth, it also undermines the message that Biden is a steady hand.
If a stance he had for decades can be swept aside after a day of criticism from his opponents and interest groups — if he could so badly misunderstand the currents in his party — then does all his vaunted experience really add up to good judgment?
Fifth, the way the flip-flop happened highlights Biden’s age.
Last month during a campaign event, the former vice president was asked about government funding of abortion and appeared to say he now favored it. Then the campaign explained Biden “misheard” the question and still opposed funding. After intense criticism, Biden then said he supported funding.
Biden has faced two big challenges in this race.
One is ideological: Is he too moderate for today’s Democratic Party? The other is personal: Is he too old to be the nominee and the president?
The way his campaign handled the taxpayer-funding question brought both critiques together.
Biden is surely aware of some of these costs. There’s a reason he hesitated to renounce his old stance. He probably decided the Democratic Party’s current level of devotion to abortion rights meant he had to do it.
NARAL, the abortion-rights group, was triumphant after Biden made his announcement.
I’ll bet it brought a smile to President Donald Trump’s face, too.
Ramesh Ponnuru is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist. He is a senior editor at National Review, visiting fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and contributor to CBS News.